信念之火
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传杯大赛是今年春节的第二波大活动。从定位来说，传杯大赛属于觉醒活动，但是它的性价比确实很一般，比之龙凤喜宴都有所不如。因此，笔者认为，传杯大赛最主要的目的是推出名驹系统的第一个名驹——**烟云罩。下面来看活动详情。
一、活动流程
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如图，活动界面开始会出现1个箭头，指引玩家熟悉活动玩法。根据系统指引，玩家可以拿到1次免费次数。此外，在之前的新年签到活动中可获得“贺岁金杯”，玩家在传杯大赛期间使用贺岁金杯，每天可获得30次免费次数，也可以使用100金币进行翻倍，即再获得30次免费次数（共60次）。免费次数每天最多只能存储30次，超出30次的部分会在第2天0点清空。
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传杯大赛开始后，玩家会进入某位武将的府邸饮酒。酒的颜色/品质共5种，品质从低到高依次为白、蓝、黄、红、紫（此处颜色＝品质，为了便于理解，本文某些地方会用“品质”来代替“颜色”进行讲解）。武将府邸每次会出现3种酒，这3种酒的颜色随机。玩家可以使用免费次数点击其中一种酒，每次点击，被点击的酒都有概率改变品质（也可能不改变）。每次点击酒（颜色不论），玩家都会获得5觉醒酒、5气氛值，且有概率获得1次免费次数。
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如果当前3种酒的颜色一致，则触发“共饮”，共饮是免费的，每次共饮后都会获得一定的觉醒酒和气氛值奖励。其中，3白色酒共饮获得3觉醒酒、3气氛值；3蓝色酒共饮获得5觉醒酒、4气氛值；3**酒共饮获得6觉醒酒、5气氛值；3红色酒共饮获得8觉醒酒、6气氛值；3紫色酒共饮获得12觉醒酒、7气氛值。
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除此之外，该活动还有“举杯”机制。根据活动初始的指引，玩家可获得1次免费举杯次数。使用举杯选项后，无论当前3种酒的颜色是否一致，都会集体举杯，每次举杯可获得36觉醒酒、30气氛值。每次使用举杯后，玩家都有概率获得2次免费次数。
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免费次数用完后，玩家需要使用金币点击酒或举杯。点击酒的金币价格起步为2金币，每2次递增2金币（即2、2、4、4、6、6……）；举杯的初始金币价格为80金，每2次递增4金币（即80、80、84、84、88、88……）。每次出现的3种酒共享免费次数，共享金币消耗和递增幅度。点击酒和举杯的金币消耗每天重置。
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下面重点介绍一下气氛值进度条（轮数）。活动界面左侧有一个气氛值进度条，一开始是第一轮，第1轮的气氛值进度要求为120，气氛值满后额外奖励30杜康酒。笔者已经把第1-11轮的气氛值进度条和对应的节点奖励制成了表格：
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其中，每天的第3、第7轮完成后会出现贵宾，奖励典藏醇酿。具体情况为“完成对应轮数→出现贵宾→进入贵宾府邸→连续点击3次欢饮→获得典藏醇酿”。贵宾府邸欢饮不计入总轮数，也没有气氛值奖励。这里还有一个细节需要说明：每天的第3、第7轮完成后出现贵宾是指每天完成3轮、7轮后出现贵宾，而不是固定的序列。例如，玩家第一天做完第10轮，那么第二天从第11轮（进度480）开始做，做完第13轮后、即意味着完成第二天的前3轮，此时就会出现贵宾、奖励典藏醇酿。
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每开启新的一轮，都会进入一个新的武将府邸，每轮的免费次数、金币消耗都承接自前一轮，即前一轮的免费次数剩余多少、金币单价涨到多少，下一轮也是多少。做完一轮后，点击右侧的“前往”，即可进入下一轮。
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ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_2705760"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202001/24/2705760c9e8dc724cc6d8fa092ffc33790b2c07.jpg"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202001/24/2705760c9e8dc724cc6d8fa092ffc33790b2c07.jpg"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202001/24/2705760c9e8dc724cc6d8fa092ffc33790b2c07.jpg"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op
若玩家获得的气氛值超过当前轮所需的气氛值，则多余的气氛值并不会计入下一轮，等于是浪费了。玩家每天都可以做许多轮（上限未知），而第二天是从第一天做完的轮数（序列）那里开始接着做。例如，玩家第一天做完第10轮，那么第二天就是从第11轮（气氛值进度480）开始接着做，而不是重新从第1轮开始。
ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_2706927"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202001/25/2706927e682f8f2b1e890a4ff723c40ff8bf0b1.png"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202001/25/2706927e682f8f2b1e890a4ff723c40ff8bf0b1.png"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202001/25/2706927e682f8f2b1e890a4ff723c40ff8bf0b1.png"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op
该活动会开启气氛值排行榜，只有做满15轮的玩家才能进入排行榜、参与气氛值排名的角逐。活动结束后，排名前10的玩家可获得典藏醇酿奖励，排名前3的玩家还可额外获得孙尚香皮肤——**烟云罩。
ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_2706933"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202001/25/27069332a92b284efa54a03ee6a9cb2f4e1b429.png"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202001/25/27069332a92b284efa54a03ee6a9cb2f4e1b429.png"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202001/25/27069332a92b284efa54a03ee6a9cb2f4e1b429.png"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op
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**烟云罩不仅是孙尚香的专属皮肤，而且还是名驹系统的第一个名驹。关于**烟云罩及名驹系统，笔者会在后续发布专门的介绍帖，敬请关注。
二、消费策略
由于这个觉醒活动的性价比不高，其主要目的是推出名驹系统的第一个名驹——**烟云罩，因此，玩家的做法主要分为2类：一是拿点觉醒酒，仅此而已；二是觉醒酒无所谓，主要是抢夺排名、抢夺**烟云罩。那么，前者就主要考虑觉醒酒数量，后者则主要考虑气氛值的获取。
此外，这个活动的拼脸程度很高，概率性特别强，主要体现在：每次点击酒都有概率换颜色或不换颜色，而要使3种酒颜色相同的话、每个人的点击次数都不一样。活动过程中，都会随机爆出免费次数，而每个人获得的免费次数也不一样，各种概率的叠加使我们无法制定具体的消费方案（细节），只能给出性价比较高的做法，或者说给出最节约金币的做法。按照这套做法来做，很大程度上可以达到理想的性价比。
这套做法包括2个部分：
一是免费次数部分。每位玩家每天的免费次数可能是30次或60次（取决于是否使用100金币翻倍），不管你的免费次数是多少，具体到活动中，如果3种酒里面有2种酒颜色相同、那么你需要去点颜色不同的那一种酒，使3种酒颜色一致；如果出现3种颜色完全不同的酒，那么你需要优先点击较低品质的酒（品质从低到高依次为白、蓝、黄、红、紫，点击过程中、品质高低是相对的，你需要动态地判断并点击3种酒里品质较低的那一种），若点击过程中出现2种酒颜色一致的情况，那么此时你应该去点颜色不同的那一种酒，使3种酒颜色一致。
ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_2705804"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202001/24/2705804ea535211a5f112d19b39fb8b6bc1f04f.jpg"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202001/24/2705804ea535211a5f112d19b39fb8b6bc1f04f.jpg"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202001/24/2705804ea535211a5f112d19b39fb8b6bc1f04f.jpg"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op
之所以这么做，是因为不管你点哪种酒，都会获得5气氛值、5觉醒酒，而白、蓝、黄、红、紫这5种酒共饮的气氛值奖励的差距并不大（参见活动规则），所以首要追求的应该是使3种酒颜色一致，而不考虑其品质。另外，每次点击出现的酒的颜色都是随机的，使3种酒颜色一致会使金币消耗最低；若一味的追求高品质的颜色一致（例如3红、3紫），则不仅金币消耗很高，性价比也无法保障。
二是金币部分。使用金币点击酒时，有2个要点需要注意：A.注意气氛值性价比（即X金币/气氛）。例如举杯初始是80金币一次，每次举杯可得30气氛值，此时气氛值性价比为2.67金币/气氛，而点击酒的单价初始为2金币，对应性价比为0.4金币/气氛值，远远低于举杯的价格，那么此时就应该使用点击酒的方式做活动，而且仍然要配合上文提到的“追求3种酒颜色一致”的做法来做，以求达到较高性价比。因此，这要求玩家动态计算气氛值单价。这种做法只适合气氛值单价较低的情况。
B.比较举杯的气氛值性价比和单次点击酒的气氛值性价比。例如点击酒的单价已经达到50金币/次，对应的气氛值性价比为10金币/气氛，而此时举杯的单价只有150金币（对应性价比为5金币/气氛），那么即便当前3种酒有2种酒颜色一致，也应该直接使用举杯选项，不要点颜色不同的那种酒去拼脸，就算能把3种酒点成相同颜色，其性价比也太低了。
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下面是笔者根据测试号第1-2天做传杯大赛的情况制作的前16轮表格（点击放大观看）：
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这个表格里面的部分做法是测试阶段的做法，所以并不能代表性价比最高的情况，但其中的金币消耗可以为所有玩家提 供参考。
三、消费方案&注意事项
鉴于传杯大赛的性价比不如其他觉醒活动，而其主要目的是推出名驹系统的第一个名驹——**烟云罩，所以，玩家在选择消费的时候只有2个倾向：一是侧重拿觉醒酒，不上排行榜；二是抢夺排行榜前3名，争夺**烟云罩。前者是普通玩家，后者至少是大R级别。
还有2个需要注意的重点是：其一，进入排行榜的要求改为做满15轮；其二，新一天做活动是接着前一天的轮数（序列）来做，而不是重新从第1轮开始，这对金币的消耗更大。不过，笔者已经掌握了前20轮的气氛值进度数据，可以对消费方案作出优化。
1.对于普通玩家而言，这个活动最多做完第3轮，可能就是比较理想的选择，如果想再多拿一点觉醒酒，也可以多做1-2轮，具体可参考上面的表格和最优做法介绍，根据自身的财力而定。
2.对于大RMB玩家而言，终极目标是拿到**烟云罩，也就是进入排行榜前3名，这里面涉及到玩家所在服的竞争情况。如果玩家所在的服竞争不激烈，甚至几乎没有竞争，那么只需达到最低要求——做满15轮，就正好能够进入排行榜，也正好能够进入排行榜前3名；如果玩家所在的服竞争很激烈，那么玩家需要根据以往争夺排名的激烈程度、大致估算出进入前3名所需要的轮数，然后平均分摊到3天去做。具体消费方案如下图：
ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_2706946"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202001/25/2706946551a8e3aba6107efa3269246881ffece.png"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202001/25/2706946551a8e3aba6107efa3269246881ffece.png"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202001/25/2706946551a8e3aba6107efa3269246881ffece.png"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op
根据以上消费方案，笔者制成了对应的进度和节点奖励表格：
ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_2706948"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202001/25/2706948ffc071914a36c50879a393283814fd6a.png"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202001/25/2706948ffc071914a36c50879a393283814fd6a.png"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202001/25/2706948ffc071914a36c50879a393283814fd6a.png"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op
如图，如果是竞争不怎么激烈的服，预计消耗2万金币就能拿到**烟云罩，而竞争激烈的服就远不止于此了，可能是3万、4万金币甚至更多。
综上所述，关于传杯大赛，笔者对玩家的建议是：如果不能进入排行榜前3名，就应该少做或不做；如果志在**烟云罩，那么就全力冲刺，最后一天要盯紧排名；如果只想拿一点觉醒酒，那么每天做3-4轮即可。
四、评价
传杯大赛最大的亮点是活动形式异常新颖，给玩家带来很多新鲜感，其最大的看点是推出名驹系统的第一个名驹——**烟云罩，而传杯大赛的不足之处在于，性价比较低，难以关切玩家的觉醒诉求，如果后续能提升觉醒酒奖励，则不失为一种补救之策。
谢谢！
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