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本帖最后由 lcz009 于 2014-08-16 11:51:11 编辑
随着玩家等级的提升，银币这种资源竟然也慢慢的不够用了起来，究其原因，是纺织需要行动力，而行动力又可以炼制兵器和通商换宝石，于是每天的银币被消耗掉了，这样装备就没有银币来强化了，7月新版增加了纺织银币的获得：
ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_832911"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/832911a951836b831f3e043a80906b9cb4ca92.jpg"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/832911a951836b831f3e043a80906b9cb4ca92.jpg"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/832911a951836b831f3e043a80906b9cb4ca92.jpg"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op
在这样的情况下，今天我们来探讨下通商要不要开银币商人，以及特供商品是否值得购买，我们先来看下改版后的纺织收益（笔者测试号254级纺织局，不过总的收益差距应该不大）
ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_832961"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/832961c99e9d8adb15cc2bbf40e4e4fdde8c85.jpg"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/832961c99e9d8adb15cc2bbf40e4e4fdde8c85.jpg"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/832961c99e9d8adb15cc2bbf40e4e4fdde8c85.jpg"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op
ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_832963"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/832963712434bb909e2b55ccbfff8d7bc184c3.jpg"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/832963712434bb909e2b55ccbfff8d7bc184c3.jpg"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/832963712434bb909e2b55ccbfff8d7bc184c3.jpg"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op
ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_832965"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/8329651714e91fb7e0ac9fe3a4dd60dd9541a7.jpg"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/8329651714e91fb7e0ac9fe3a4dd60dd9541a7.jpg"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/8329651714e91fb7e0ac9fe3a4dd60dd9541a7.jpg"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op
ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_832967"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/83296774f718d64964d38642f3e739be07033c.jpg"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/83296774f718d64964d38642f3e739be07033c.jpg"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/83296774f718d64964d38642f3e739be07033c.jpg"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op
ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_832969"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/83296987fdd8e4c8584c93e90d78a0984c7d81.jpg"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/83296987fdd8e4c8584c93e90d78a0984c7d81.jpg"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/83296987fdd8e4c8584c93e90d78a0984c7d81.jpg"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op
ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_832971"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/83297115e009eaab42ac550e603095f34f95ce.jpg"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/83297115e009eaab42ac550e603095f34f95ce.jpg"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/83297115e009eaab42ac550e603095f34f95ce.jpg"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op
根据图片可以得出如下结论：
ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_832925"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/8329251cf56ad91c4c7bbe11d3416c974c8c32.jpg"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/8329251cf56ad91c4c7bbe11d3416c974c8c32.jpg"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/8329251cf56ad91c4c7bbe11d3416c974c8c32.jpg"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op
我们还按照以前的假设，假设20次高效纺织可以有1次海外暴击，1次大卖暴击，1次普通海外，1次普通大卖，6次暴击，10次普通纺织（这里是保守估计，实际上的收益应该比这个高），得出如下结论：
ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_832927"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/8329272e18bc7c721eb3baf03179b2640c7da9.jpg"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/8329272e18bc7c721eb3baf03179b2640c7da9.jpg"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/8329272e18bc7c721eb3baf03179b2640c7da9.jpg"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op
我们再来研究下通商的情况： 获得246的通商特权以前： 不开银币商人：
ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_832929"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/83292997774b55d8d243773c4634c3c8172d46.jpg"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/83292997774b55d8d243773c4634c3c8172d46.jpg"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/83292997774b55d8d243773c4634c3c8172d46.jpg"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op
银币商人全开：宝石基础多100
ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_832931"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/8329318dab020f8c682b7693cc378eba25450e.jpg"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/8329318dab020f8c682b7693cc378eba25450e.jpg"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/8329318dab020f8c682b7693cc378eba25450e.jpg"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op
获得特权以后：
ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_832933"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/83293365124ee178d1ccf294129beea1287fb7.jpg"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/83293365124ee178d1ccf294129beea1287fb7.jpg"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/83293365124ee178d1ccf294129beea1287fb7.jpg"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op
不开银币商人：
ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_832935"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/8329353cfd0c2fda0a8c6abd6639f44395abac.jpg"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/8329353cfd0c2fda0a8c6abd6639f44395abac.jpg"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/8329353cfd0c2fda0a8c6abd6639f44395abac.jpg"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op
银币商人全开：宝石基础多100
ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_832937"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/83293717c712be3be3431be5aa3f402c75e446.jpg"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/83293717c712be3be3431be5aa3f402c75e446.jpg"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/83293717c712be3be3431be5aa3f402c75e446.jpg"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op
那么我们分别选取240、246、256、264四个级别作为分析对象，可以得出如下结论（计算的暴击概率完全按照**给出的暴率计算，实际操作中请玩家自行修正）：
ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_832941"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/8329414e489ad64924c8de4072a704afcd3e4f.jpg"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/8329414e489ad64924c8de4072a704afcd3e4f.jpg"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/8329414e489ad64924c8de4072a704afcd3e4f.jpg"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op
事实上，通商开银币商人是有失败概率的，我们按照40%的失败率代入其中，再将1万银币0.036行动力代入,则上边的表格变为：
ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_832945"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/83294597bd1d4a41f32c91d8202f4e1f216b25.jpg"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/83294597bd1d4a41f32c91d8202f4e1f216b25.jpg"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/83294597bd1d4a41f32c91d8202f4e1f216b25.jpg"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op
我们再来看下3000万银币999宝石的特供商品性价比：
ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_832947"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/8329473aaa684d2471f62413d62d26d12f0e76.jpg"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/8329473aaa684d2471f62413d62d26d12f0e76.jpg"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201408/13/8329473aaa684d2471f62413d62d26d12f0e76.jpg"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op
根据上述计算我们可以得出如下结论： 1、随着纺织收益的增加，特供商品的性价比又有所提高，性价比高于通商，所以每日特供商品应该购买。 2、246级以下的玩家应该优先开银币商人通商 3、246级以上玩家，随着等级的提高，银币商人的性价比越来越低，256级以上玩家建议不开银币商人通商。
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