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你选择拜访银币商盟了么？新商盟下，通商策略分析
12月新版，通商跟纺织都有了新变化： 纺织变成了5点行动力一次：
ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_961649"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201501/04/961649f604d8c7a445399302c32b3985ce5156.jpg"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201501/04/961649f604d8c7a445399302c32b3985ce5156.jpg"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201501/04/961649f604d8c7a445399302c32b3985ce5156.jpg"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op
通商用关东商盟代替了楼兰商盟，拜访关东商盟后，通商基础宝石增加200个：
ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_961651"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201501/04/961651a69acdcf110a3528268751668aebb3e0.jpg"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201501/04/961651a69acdcf110a3528268751668aebb3e0.jpg"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201501/04/961651a69acdcf110a3528268751668aebb3e0.jpg"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op
ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_961653"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201501/04/9616539baad5b717c62bd48dbf1e42a584e7da.jpg"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201501/04/9616539baad5b717c62bd48dbf1e42a584e7da.jpg"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201501/04/9616539baad5b717c62bd48dbf1e42a584e7da.jpg"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op
这是自7月改版后，纺织和通商的首次变化，而7月改版后，笔者进行过的分析最终得出的结论是：
ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_961655"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201501/04/961655123edbe20204f1640a413d4090566391.jpg"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201501/04/961655123edbe20204f1640a413d4090566391.jpg"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201501/04/961655123edbe20204f1640a413d4090566391.jpg"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op
而如今纺织的花费降低，而银币通商的收益增加，现阶段玩家通商应该如何进行选择呢？笔者试着进行以下分析：
ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_961657"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201501/04/96165749536b515b8740143f5135777e51478d.jpg"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201501/04/96165749536b515b8740143f5135777e51478d.jpg"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201501/04/96165749536b515b8740143f5135777e51478d.jpg"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op
将消耗降低为100点，可以折算出1行动力纺织收益为44.4万银币，折算纺织1万银币消耗行动力0.023。 因为关东商盟是在260级才可以获得，那现在我们就来分析下260级、270级、280级玩家的通商情况（计算的暴击概率完全按照**给出的暴率计算，实际操作中请玩家自行修正）：
ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_961659"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201501/04/9616594dfca8b2ba6a5d63abbbd262e1669290.jpg"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201501/04/9616594dfca8b2ba6a5d63abbbd262e1669290.jpg"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201501/04/9616594dfca8b2ba6a5d63abbbd262e1669290.jpg"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op
事实上，通商开银币商人是有失败概率的，改版后的失败概率貌似降低了，我们按照20%的失败率（失败后可获得20宝石）代入其中，再将1万银币0.023行动力代入,则上边的表格变为：
ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_961661"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201501/04/961661fe1248330410ae99512f05bf3869d782.jpg"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201501/04/961661fe1248330410ae99512f05bf3869d782.jpg"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/201501/04/961661fe1248330410ae99512f05bf3869d782.jpg"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op
从上表中可以看出，260级获得关东商人后，银币通商的收益明显大幅提高了，特别是银币商盟全开的收益大幅增加了，这主要是纺织的行动力消耗少了，而通商失败的概率下降了。
结论：
1、260级获得关东商盟后，开银币商盟通商的收益又高于不开银币商盟了，所以，不要因为银币短缺而不选择开银币商盟了，如果你缺少银币，那么果断选择纺织后再通商吧 2、而260以前的玩家，仍然应该以246级为分界点，246级以前选择开银币商盟，而246-260级之间的玩家，可以不开银币商盟通商。
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