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【光荣】2023年12月争霸——从16进8战损比预测四强名单

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光荣与梦想   当前离线
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光荣与梦想

2023-12-19 只看楼主
ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_4056142"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/4056142011b9c348d9e645bb31fdcdf3ad2f528.png"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/4056142011b9c348d9e645bb31fdcdf3ad2f528.png"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/4056142011b9c348d9e645bb31fdcdf3ad2f528.png"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op 8强赛罢,留下的都是争霸老手,竞争也渐入白热化。8场对决中只有余洁 vs 暗夜战神,以及一曲一场叹 vs 风无向这两场略有起伏,其余比赛基本上是一面倒的5:0 。光荣运气不错,本届比赛第一次押对了一轮内的全部比赛。 ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_4056143"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/4056143f36d18bc7a1d61390a87769daed25c0c.png"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/4056143f36d18bc7a1d61390a87769daed25c0c.png"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/4056143f36d18bc7a1d61390a87769daed25c0c.png"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_4056144"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/4056144bea0d7a08a3b909bfbecdad5ee973e46.png"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/4056144bea0d7a08a3b909bfbecdad5ee973e46.png"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/4056144bea0d7a08a3b909bfbecdad5ee973e46.png"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_4056145"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/4056145a216cb657bc5ccca79e7b5aaa5032391.png"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/4056145a216cb657bc5ccca79e7b5aaa5032391.png"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/4056145a216cb657bc5ccca79e7b5aaa5032391.png"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_4056146"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/4056146febe79d1c0294aef3901fb300c7704ec.png"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/4056146febe79d1c0294aef3901fb300c7704ec.png"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/4056146febe79d1c0294aef3901fb300c7704ec.png"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op 要论玩家实力zui准确的评估,莫过于各个武将的血量(选取zui有代表性的诸葛、赵云血量也大差不差)。可毕竟不是很多人可以准确掌握所有选手的实时血量情况,我们只能从已经发生的对战结果中推测各位选手的真实战力情况。相较于简单的晋级结果,对决的战损比可能蕴含了更多的战力因素,我们也有了跨对决隔空对比不同玩家战力的可能。 在昨晚的8强赛中,光荣实时截取了第2轮全部8场对决的战损比结果,列表如下(原始截图附在文末,供感兴趣的玩家研究): ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_4056458"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/40564587a2e2274539aea0a7eccbca6013624ad.png"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/40564587a2e2274539aea0a7eccbca6013624ad.png"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/40564587a2e2274539aea0a7eccbca6013624ad.png"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op 我们知道一场对决败方的损失兵力基本就代表了该选手的总兵力(进而可以推算平均武将血量),而胜方的损失兵力则无法直接估算其真实总兵力。作为对阵双方强弱判断的依据,我们大体可以通过战损比(对方损失兵力/己方损失兵力),再乘上对方损失兵力,来估算胜方的折合战力(战损比高的实际总兵力肯定没有这么高)。 再依据折合战力进行排序和对比,我们就可以得到接下去8进4的强弱判定了。按照战损比修正的折合战力,四强很可能由一生、魔剑笑、萧峰、小飞仙四人组成。其中魔剑笑和大漠的这场四强之争可能是zui有悬念的,其他场次的对决则很可能都是一面倒的比赛。 至于说按照战损比推测的选手战力排序是否合理,欢迎数据来源广泛的玩家批评指正。 注. 上表中风无向的折合战力估高了,实际上风无向总兵力不到6000万,其他玩家名次可以相应调整,不过上下偏差应该也就在1~2位的样子。 附. 战损比原始截图(大漠 vs 十字军A行的结果发不上去,别问我为啥) ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_4056148"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/4056148137000dddd0974443065e8e70c547c58.png"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/4056148137000dddd0974443065e8e70c547c58.png"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/4056148137000dddd0974443065e8e70c547c58.png"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_4056149"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/4056149761df48f703ec8315f6fbdcdf694e626.png"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/4056149761df48f703ec8315f6fbdcdf694e626.png"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/4056149761df48f703ec8315f6fbdcdf694e626.png"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_4056150"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/405615065fd26e1a6b283f7e5d114b0c2992b63.png"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/405615065fd26e1a6b283f7e5d114b0c2992b63.png"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/405615065fd26e1a6b283f7e5d114b0c2992b63.png"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_4056153"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/405615328932813c1fb2c5a3d2982e9b55b10f1.png"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/405615328932813c1fb2c5a3d2982e9b55b10f1.png"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/405615328932813c1fb2c5a3d2982e9b55b10f1.png"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_4056154"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/4056154e8a2740fe9e0f552978fca436e90f27e.png"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/4056154e8a2740fe9e0f552978fca436e90f27e.png"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/4056154e8a2740fe9e0f552978fca436e90f27e.png"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_4056155"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/40561558acc36878d915aa48a66a128872f159b.png"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/40561558acc36878d915aa48a66a128872f159b.png"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/40561558acc36878d915aa48a66a128872f159b.png"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op ignore_js_opimg id="aimg_4056156"src="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/40561561255abd5a993479744c6d4d0235d9e1f.png"style="max-width: 750px;"zoomfile="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/40561561255abd5a993479744c6d4d0235d9e1f.png"file="https://res-bbs.aoshitang.com/data/attachment/forum/202312/19/40561561255abd5a993479744c6d4d0235d9e1f.png"class="zoom"onclick="zoom(this, this.src)"onmouseover="showMenu({'ctrlid':this.id,'pos':'12'})"alt=""//ignore_js_op

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枫叶归途

25楼
2023-12-22 来自"傲世堂APP"
大佬请问升级终篇吃几级六韬*合适
 

青山五岳

24楼
2023-12-20
:)
 

四海龙行

23楼
2023-12-20
:)
 

黄城三爷

22楼
2023-12-20
:)
 

橙二少

21楼
2023-12-20
:)
 

红马甲

20楼
2023-12-20
:)
 
6793717   当前离线
银币 187030
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6793717

19楼
2023-12-20 来自"傲世堂APP"
签到
 
p2008ck   当前离线
银币 180134
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p2008ck

18楼
2023-12-20
:lol
 

tomtom7028

17楼
2023-12-20 来自"傲世堂APP"
签到
 

hunter_zxw

16楼
2023-12-20
:)
 

查洞堵漏

15楼
2023-12-20
:)
 

风雨征程

14楼
2023-12-19
:)
 

获奖主

13楼
2023-12-19 来自"傲世堂APP"
战力排名出入太大了。
 

迷路的小可爱

12楼
2023-12-19 来自"傲世堂APP"
小飞仙和一生为一人是稳定能赢的,其他俩个赛区都有翻车的可能,
 

一混一天

11楼
2023-12-19
一生的总兵力才860万??太胡扯了吧
 

tomtom7028

10楼
2023-12-19 来自"傲世堂APP"
签到
 

赵子龙cgb

9楼
2023-12-19
星河日晟:肖峰坑的很,看好他他就输,不看好他就赢... 随便玩的,不必认真。运气而已
 

威龙破天

8楼
2023-12-19
签到!:o
 

星河日晟

7楼
2023-12-19 来自"傲世堂APP"
肖峰坑的很,看好他他就输,不看好他就赢
 
zzzzbc   当前离线
银币 55072
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zzzzbc

6楼
2023-12-19
:)
 
ET_water   当前在线
银币 162802
经验 10382
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ET_water

5楼
2023-12-19
哈哈 我到现在只对了12场,拿奖励都够呛
 

宰相大人

4楼
2023-12-19 来自"傲世堂APP"
对手不一样,胡扯
 

sdbdp110

3楼
2023-12-19 来自"傲世堂APP"
不过肖峰这个我没选他
 

sdbdp110

2楼
2023-12-19 来自"傲世堂APP"
正确率很高
 
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