光荣与梦想
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这么多年的争霸看下来,一直想做一个争霸选手真实武-斗实力的排行榜,供大家在观战押注时参考。无奈俗务缠身,信息收集又颇为不易,加之争霸不可预测状况颇多,此夙愿一直未能付诸现实。zui早时有时任记者玲姐根据每届比赛玩家的对阵结果做了争霸排行榜,之后由记者龙凤将这份榜单延续至今,已是相当难能可贵,长期来看可以对玩家的实力变动有个基本准确的评估。
不过基于对阵结果的排行榜有个无法克服的缺陷:对阵双方的战力高低一般可以比较清晰的判断出来,之前从未对阵过的对手则很难直接做出准确的判断。是以除了冠军级别的选手排位没任何争议,之后选手(特别是排名相当选手)的战力高低恐怕较难直接通过排行榜的位次进行判定。
在刚刚过去的争霸中,光荣被表现欲极强的天变之龙折磨得死去活来,每局对决少则十几分钟,多则二十余分钟,为了保证选手还有一定的换将操作时间,每局比赛的累计时间长达半个小时!无聊等待下局比赛开始的间隔期,光荣瞄了瞄其他场次的结果,截了不少对阵结果的图:
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以对阵双方战损比的角度来看,发现不少有趣的结论:
1. 每场比赛败方选手的损失兵力基本代表了该选手的总兵力,进而大致可以估计出其平均单将血量;
2. 当下的武-斗,总兵力基本反映了选手的总体战力水平,进而基本决定了对阵的结果(本届似乎只出现过一例低血量战胜高血量的例子,即16进8方方战胜书生);
3. 当下天变之龙的超级强势地位,导致所有比赛几乎都是一边倒,双方的战损比极其夸张(通常在1:2以上,2将以上优势获胜;极端达到1:5左右,也就是实战中的1串5),真正战损比接进的对决也只有2场(16进8方方vs书生第1局,以及16进8暗夜战神vs cccp),或许可以认为这两对选手的战力是大体相当的。
根据截图到的一些场次对阵结果,我们可以得到如下的总兵力(血量)排行情况:
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这里面只有zui后的冠军一生为一人从未显示过准确的总兵力(全程未输过一场),个别玩家未截到输掉的对阵结局,其平均单将血量系根据对阵结果推测而来。
通过这份表单我们也可以对当下16强的战力水平做个大致的推断:
冠军级,平均单将血量60万;
4强级,平均单将血量50万+;
8强级,平均单将血量45万+;
16强级,平均单将血量35万+。
如果不考虑武-斗经验因素(在当下的比武中似乎也没有太多的作用),总兵力,或玩家更为直观的平均单将血量,大约就可以作为当下判断对阵双方获胜概率的一条重要依据了。
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